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La Liga

Espanyol - Getafe

03/21/2026, 03:15 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Espanyol
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Getafe
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
ESPGET

Espanyol

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.10
Defensive weakness (1.5 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.05
Pere Milla on the bench (6 goals, 0 assists)
Pol Lozano on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
18% of goal output missing (only 97% available)

Getafe

Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.02
Attack weakness (0.75x league average)
-0.01
Abdel Abqar not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

31%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

69%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Espanyol as slight favorites with 38% for a home win
  • Form advantage: Getafe shows better recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
  • Home offense: Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
Risk Factors
  • Getafe's B. Mayoral Moya is injured, weakening the offense (4 goals, 1 assist)
  • Getafe's counter-attacking style results in an average of 3.2 shots on target per game
  • Espanyol's lack of home wins: In the last 5 games, Espanyol failed to secure a home win (3 draws, 2 losses)
Overview

Espanyol (8th place, 37 points) hosts Getafe (9th place, 35 points) at the RCDE Stadium. The La Liga match will take place on March 21, 2026, 4:15 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, separated by only two points.

Form

Espanyol's current form across all competitions is DLDDL with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match resulted in a loss. Getafe shows a form of WLWWL with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. Getafe also lost their last match.

Statistics

Espanyol averages 1.25 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals. At home, they average 1.21 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded. Getafe averages 0.82 goals scored and concedes 1.07 goals per season. Away, Getafe's goal average is 0.85, and their goals conceded average is 1.46. At the RCDE Stadium, an average of 2.6 total goals have been scored per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches.

Head-to-Head

In the 5 direct encounters, Espanyol secured 3 wins and Getafe 2 wins. No matches ended in a draw. Espanyol scored 3 goals, while Getafe scored 2 goals. The last match, on December 13, 2025, saw Espanyol win 1-0. Espanyol has been more dominant in recent head-to-head fixtures.

Key Players

For Espanyol, Kike GarcĂ­a (6 goals, 1 assist), Edu ExpĂłsito (1 goal, 6 assists), and Carlos Romero (5 goals, 2 assists) are key offensive players. Kike GarcĂ­a's recent form is rising, while Edu ExpĂłsito and Carlos Romero show a declining form trend. For Getafe, Luis Milla (0 goals, 8 assists), Mauro Arambarri (5 goals, 2 assists), and MartĂ­n Satriano (3 goals, 0 assists) are notable. Luis Milla's and MartĂ­n Satriano's form is stable, while Mauro Arambarri shows a rising form trend.

Goalkeepers

Espanyol has achieved 7 clean sheets this season. Getafe's goalkeeper David Soria has recorded 8 clean sheets.

Influences

Espanyol plays on grass at the RCDE Stadium. Home statistics indicate Espanyol averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded. The RCDE Stadium has seen an average of 2.6 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches.

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