La Liga
Osasuna - Girona
03/21/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.8
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Osasuna
Girona
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Form contrast: Osasuna's goal production is stagnant (1.0), while Girona is currently scoring more frequently (1.8)
- Head-to-head record: Girona dominated recent direct clashes with 4 wins in 5 matches
- High-scoring tendency: Estadio El Sadar saw an average of 3.6 goals and always BTTS in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Osasuna's offensive efficiency: Season average of only 2.6 shots on target (average)
Overview
Osasuna (11th place, 34 points) host Girona (12th place, 34 points) at Estadio El Sadar
La Liga match on March 21, 2026, 6:30 PM
Both teams are level on points in the bottom half of the table
The mathematical analysis sees Girona as slight favorites with a 41% win probability
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Osasuna's current form across all competitions is DWLDL, with a loss in their last game
The home team achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches
According to Advanced Stats, Osasuna's recent form trend is negative, and goal production is stagnant (1.0) compared to the season average (1.6)
Girona's form across all competitions is WDLDW, with a win in their last game
The away team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Girona's form trend is positive, and the team is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.2)
Statistics
Osasuna scores an average of 1.18 goals per game and concedes 1.25 goals per game this season
In home games, Osasuna scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.8 goals
The home team kept 6 clean sheets this season, 4 of them at home
Girona scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and concedes 1.54 goals per game this season
In away games, Girona scores an average of 1.07 goals and concedes 1.57 goals
The away team kept 5 clean sheets this season, 1 of them away
Estadio El Sadar has seen an average of 3.6 total goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
The mathematical analysis predicts a 58% probability for both teams to score and a 53% probability for over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna achieved 1 win, Girona 4 wins, and there were 0 draws
Osasuna scored 4 goals in these encounters, while Girona scored 12 goals
The last encounter on January 10, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Girona
Girona dominated recent direct clashes
Key Players
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the top scorer with 13 season goals
VĂctor Muñoz contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
RubĂ©n GarcĂa provided 2 goals and 5 assists
For Girona, Vladyslav Vanat is the top attacker with 9 season goals and 1 assist, he has not played in the last 5 games
Viktor Tsygankov scored 5 goals and 4 assists this season, he has not played in the last 5 games
Azzedine Ounahi has 4 goals and 2 assists this season and recorded 1 assist in the last 5 games with stable form
Goalkeepers
Sergio Herrera is Osasuna's goalkeeper and showed an average rating of 7.75 in his last game with rising form
Osasuna kept 6 clean sheets this season
Paulo Gazzaniga is Girona's goalkeeper, and the team kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Estadio El Sadar, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, tends to see many goals scored
In the last 5 games at Estadio El Sadar, both teams always scored
Osasuna scored an average of 1.2 goals at home and conceded 0.8 goals
Girona scored an average of 1.07 goals away and conceded 1.57 goals