La Liga
Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés
03/22/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.3
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
13%0:0
12%2:0
12%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alavés
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
29%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of 54% for a home win for Celta de Vigo
- Form and Table Position: Celta de Vigo is in 6th place with 41 points, while Deportivo Alavés is in 17th place with 28 points and shows weaker form (DDLLD)
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals at home, while Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Limited preparation time: Celta de Vigo had only 3 days since their last match
- Away weakness: Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Celta de Vigo's goal production is stagnant (1.4), season average is 1.6
Overview
Celta de Vigo (6th place, 41 points) host Deportivo Alavés (17th place, 28 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos
La Liga match on March 22, 2026, 4:15 PM
Celta de Vigo aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Deportivo Alavés seeks to move away from the relegation zone
Form
Celta de Vigo's form in their last five matches is WLDDW
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a win as the last result
Deportivo Alavés' form in their last five matches is DDLLD
This means 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a draw as the last result
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.36 goals per game and concedes 1.11 goals per game
They also kept 8 clean sheets
Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 0.93 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game
They managed to keep 3 clean sheets
In home games, Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.13 goals
Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game
At the Estadio de Balaídos, the last 5 games averaged 2.2 total goals per match, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo secured 2 wins, Deportivo Alavés had 1 win, and there were 2 draws
Celta de Vigo scored a total of 5 goals in these matches, while Deportivo Alavés scored 6 goals
The last encounter on November 22, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Celta de Vigo
Key Players
For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias is an important attacker with 11 goals and 2 assists this season
Ferran Jutglà contributed 5 goals and 1 assist
Defender Óscar Mingueza showed offensive strength with 1 goal and 4 assists
For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé stands out with 9 goals and 1 assist this season
Toni Martínez scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists
Carles Aleñá delivered 4 assists in the current season
Goalkeepers
Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, Ionuț Radu, has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Antonio Sivera, Deportivo Alavés' goalkeeper, achieved 3 clean sheets
Influences
Celta de Vigo has scored 20 goals and conceded 17 goals in home games this season
Deportivo Alavés has scored 9 goals and conceded 22 goals in away games
The Estadio de Balaídos has an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games