La Liga
Levante - Real Oviedo
03/21/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
10%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Levante
Real Oviedo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis shows a 34% home win, 32% draw, and 34% away win
- Form development: Real Oviedo shows a positive trend in goal production (currently 1.0 compared to 0.8 season average), while Levante's trend is negative (currently 0.8 compared to 1.07 season average)
- Low scoring: Real Oviedo scores only 0.63 goals per away game, Levante only 1.08 goals per home game
Risk Factors
- Levante's recent goal production has dropped to 0.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.07 goals per game
- Real Oviedo averages only 0.63 goals per away game this season
- The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia has seen over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5 matches
Overview
Levante (19th place, 23 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 21 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. The La Liga match takes place on March 21, 2026, 6:30 PM. Both teams are in the relegation battle and urgently need points.
Form
Levante's last five games show a form of LLWDD, with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last match ended in a draw against Rayo Vallecano. Real Oviedo's form in their last five matches is DLLDW, also with one win, two draws, and two losses. Real Oviedo won their last game against Valencia.
Statistics
Levante scores an average of 1.08 goals at home and concedes 1.85 goals per game. Real Oviedo scores an average of 0.63 goals away and concedes 1.58 goals per away game. Levante has kept 2 clean sheets at home, while Real Oviedo has not managed any clean sheets away. The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia averages 1.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 0 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Levante has secured 2 wins, Real Oviedo 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is balanced at 5:5 goals. The last encounter on October 4, 2025, saw Levante win away with a 2:0 score. Overall, Levante has dominated recent away head-to-head encounters.
Key Players
For Levante, Carlos Espà with 5 goals, Iker Losada with 2 goals and 1 assist, and Jon Ander Olasagasti with 1 goal and 2 assists are important players. Jon Ander Olasagasti's form trend is positive. For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas with 5 goals and 1 assist, Ilyas Chaira with 3 goals and 1 assist, and Alberto Reina with 3 goals are the team's top scorers.
Goalkeepers
Mathew Ryan, Levante's goalkeeper, has played 26 games this season and recorded 5 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.23. AarĂłn Escandell, Real Oviedo's goalkeeper, has featured in 28 games and achieved 7 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.17.
Influences
The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia has an average of 1.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 0 out of 5 matches. This indicates a tendency towards low-scoring encounters. Levante averages 1.08 goals scored at home and concedes 1.85 goals. Real Oviedo averages 0.63 goals scored away and concedes 1.58 goals.