đŸ‡Ș🇾

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Levante

04/04/2026, 12:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Real Sociedad
1.9
Total xG
2.7
Levante
0.8
Most Likely Scores

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
RSLEV

Real Sociedad

Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 19, 12 places gap)
+0.11
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.00
Jon Gorrotxategi not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)

Levante

Attack weakness (0.76x league average)
-0.33
Standings disadvantage (pos 19 vs 7, 12 places gap)
-0.11
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.10
IvĂĄn Romero on the bench (5 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.3 goals/match)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

87%

Away or Draw

37%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 63% probability for Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad's solid home record (avg. 1.5 home goals) meets Levante's defensively weak away form (avg. 1.57 goals conceded)
  • Levante's tactical approach is counter-oriented with an average of 38% possession in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
  • Real Sociedad averaged 3.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Levante is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
  • Home team Real Sociedad has only achieved 2 clean sheets this season
Overview

Real Sociedad (7th place, 38 points) host Levante (19th place, 26 points) at Anoeta Stadium. The La Liga match takes place on April 4, 2026, at 2:00 PM. Real Sociedad is fighting for a better position in the upper mid-table, while Levante is battling against relegation

Form

Real Sociedad recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches (WWLWL)

The last match ended in a loss

Levante shows a form of two wins, two draws, and one loss (LWDDW)

The last match ended in a win

Statistics

Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.52 goals per game and concedes 1.55 goals

In home games, the values are 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match

Levante scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.66 goals per game

Away, they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 goals conceded

Real Sociedad's home goals scored and conceded suggest a solid home record

Levante's away goals scored and conceded show defensive vulnerability

Real Sociedad consistently scores around 1.6 goals per game

Levante is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals than their season average of 1.3 goals

Head-to-Head

Real Sociedad and Levante have met once before

The only encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on December 20, 2025

The historical record is even

Key Players

Mikel Oyarzabal (Attacker) of Real Sociedad scored 12 goals and 3 assists this season

He showed stable form in the last 5 games with 4 goals

Gonçalo Guedes (Attacker) contributed with 8 goals and 4 assists

Carlos Soler (Midfielder) scored 4 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Álex Remiro (Real Sociedad) recorded 2 clean sheets this season

His form trend is rising

Mathew Ryan (Levante) achieved 3 clean sheets

His form trend is declining

Influences

Anoeta Stadium is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored

Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.5 goals at home and concedes 1.17 goals

Levante scores an average of 1.14 goals away and concedes 1.57 goals

The grass pitch of Anoeta Stadium is the usual surface for both teams

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.