La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Elche
04/03/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
2.9
0.9
1:1
11%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
7%What influences the xG?
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
60%
Draw
24%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Rayo Vallecano with a probability of 60%
- Rayo Vallecano shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.65 goals conceded, while Elche concedes an average of 2.73 goals away from home
- Elche scores consistently, averaging 1.4 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Elche concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away game
- Rayo Vallecano's goal production has recently declined, averaging 1.0 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
- In the last head-to-head encounter, Elche won 4-0, indicating historical dominance
Overview
Rayo Vallecano (14th place, 32 points) host Elche (17th place, 29 points) at Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga match on April 3, 2026, 9:00 PM
This is an important encounter in the lower half of the league table
Form
The home team Rayo Vallecano shows a form of "DWDLL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five matches
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss
The away team Elche has a form of "LDLLW"
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five games
The last result was a win
Statistics
Rayo Vallecano averages 0.97 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they scored 0.94 goals and conceded 0.65 goals
Elche has a season average of 1.31 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they scored 1.27 goals and conceded 2.73 goals
Rayo Vallecano kept 8 clean sheets this season, Elche managed 6
For Elche, both teams scored in 21 games (BTTS), for Rayo Vallecano in 13 games
At Estadio de Vallecas, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored
In 3 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
There has been a total of 1 head-to-head match between Rayo Vallecano and Elche
Elche won the last encounter 4-0 on December 21, 2025
The historical record shows 1 away win for Elche
Rayo Vallecano scored 0 goals and Elche scored 4 goals in direct duels
Elche has been the dominant team recently
Key Players
Key players for Rayo Vallecano include:
Jorge de Frutos, Attacker: 10 goals and 1 assist this season, with declining form recently
Ălvaro GarcĂa, Attacker: 4 goals and 4 assists this season, with stable form recently
Isi PalazĂłn, Attacker: 3 goals and 3 assists this season, with stable form recently
Not nominated: Fran Pérez (2G/1A), Pathé Ciss (2G/0A)
For Elche, the following players are notable:
Rafa Mir, Attacker: 8 goals this season, with stable form recently
Ălvaro RodrĂguez, Attacker: 5 goals and 4 assists this season, with declining form recently
GermĂĄn Valera, Attacker: 4 goals and 4 assists this season, with stable form recently
Not nominated: André Silva (7G/0A)
Goalkeepers
Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper, Augusto Batalla, has achieved 8 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.88
For Elche, MatĂas Dituro is the goalkeeper, who recorded 6 clean sheets this season with a rating of 7.10
Influences
Rayo Vallecano averages 0.94 goals scored and 0.65 goals conceded at home
Elche's away record shows 1.27 goals in attack and 2.73 goals conceded in defense
At Estadio de Vallecas, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored
The playing surface is grass
The dataset does not contain weather data for this match