La Liga
Real Betis - Espanyol
04/04/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.9
1.0
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Real Betis
Espanyol
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
58%
Draw
25%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
42%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Real Betis is considered a clear favorite by the mathematical analysis with a home win probability of 58% and an expected goals ratio of 1.89 to 0.97
- Real Betis' home advantage with a strong home defense (only 0.94 goals conceded on average) meets Espanyol's weak away form
- The head-to-head record clearly favors Real Betis with 3 wins from 3 duels and a goal difference of 5:2
Risk Factors
- Real Betis' goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 1.2 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
- Espanyol conceded an average of 2.2 goals in recent games, which is significantly above their season average of 1.53
Overview
Real Betis (5th place, 44 points) host Espanyol (11th place, 37 points) at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla. The La Liga match takes place on April 4, 2026, 6:30 PM. Real Betis are pushing for European spots, while Espanyol are trying to stabilize in the mid-table.
Form
Real Betis' last five games show a form of LLDWL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their most recent result was a loss. Espanyol's form is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) with two consecutive losses at the end. Real Betis' goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 1.2 goals, while the season average is 1.8 goals. Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals).
Statistics
Real Betis scores an average of 1.52 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per game this season. At home, they are defensively stronger, conceding an average of 0.94 goals. Espanyol scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.52 goals per game. Their away average is 1.53 goals conceded per game. The Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla sees an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won all 3 games. Espanyol did not win any of the duels, and there were no draws. The goal difference is 5:2 in favor of Real Betis. The last encounter was won by Real Betis 2-1 on October 5, 2025.
Key Players
Real Betis will rely on Cucho HernĂĄndez (8 goals, 3 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games), Antony (7 goals, 5 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Pablo Fornals (7 goals, 4 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games). Not nominated for the starting XI are Abde Ezzalzouli (5G/5A) and Marc Roca (0G/2A).
For Espanyol, Roberto FernĂĄndez (6 goals, 2 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), Carlos Romero (5 goals, 2 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Edu ExpĂłsito (1 goal, 6 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are key players. Not nominated for the starting XI are Kike GarcĂa (6G/1A) and RamĂłn Terrats (1G/1A).
Goalkeepers
For Real Betis, Ălvaro Valles is in goal with 20 season appearances and an average rating of 6.9. The team recorded 8 clean sheets. For Espanyol, Manuel Iori is the goalkeeper with 29 season appearances and an average rating of 6.91. Espanyol achieved 7 clean sheets.
Influences
Real Betis benefits from home advantage, scoring an average of 1.53 goals at home and conceding only 0.94. The Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla tends to favor high-scoring matches with an average of 3.2 goals per game and a high probability for both teams to score (4 out of 5 matches). Espanyol scores an average of 1.20 goals away and concedes 1.53 goals.