La Liga
Elche - Valencia
04/11/2026, 02:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
3.0
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Elche
Valencia
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
27%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Mathematical prediction: Valencia has a 45% win probability, Elche only 29%
- Form advantage: Valencia shows a positive form trend, while Elche exhibits a negative tendency
- Offensive performance: Valencia's goal production has recently increased (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.13 goals)
Risk Factors
- Valencia concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away game
- Elche's goal production has recently stalled (1.2 goals) compared to their season average (1.27 goals)
- Elche had only 1 win in their last 5 league matches
Overview
Elche (18th place, 29 points) host Valencia (14th place, 35 points) at Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero. The La Liga match is on April 11, 2026, 4:15 PM. Elche are battling against relegation, while Valencia aims to stabilize in mid-table
Form
Elche's form in their last five league matches is DLLWL
This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last game was a 0-1 loss away against Rayo Vallecano
Before that, they secured a 2-1 home win against Mallorca
Valencia's form in their last five league matches is WWLWL
This indicates 3 wins and 2 losses
Their last match was a 2-3 home loss against Celta de Vigo
Previously, they won 2-0 away against Sevilla
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Elche has scored an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and conceded 1.57 goals per game
At home, they average 1.26 goals scored and 0.84 goals conceded
The team kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 21 matches
Valencia has scored an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceded 1.50 goals per game
Away, they average 1.18 goals scored and 2.45 goals conceded
Valencia has kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 16 matches
The Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero sees an average of 3.0 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, there were over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The teams have met in 1 head-to-head match so far
Neither team has secured a win, with 1 draw recorded
A total of 2 goals were scored in this single encounter, with each team scoring 1 goal
The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw on January 10, 2026
Key Players
For Elche, Rafa Mir with 8 goals and 0 assists, and GermĂĄn Valera with 4 goals and 4 assists are important players this season
André Silva contributed 7 goals and has a seasonal average rating of 6.85
For Valencia, Luis Rioja stands out with 2 goals and 5 assists
Largie Ramazani has scored 5 goals and 1 assist
Guido RodrĂguez has 2 goals and a seasonal average rating of 7.12
Goalkeepers
MatĂas Dituro is Elche's goalkeeper and has an average rating of 7.13 in 14 season appearances
Elche has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Stole Dimitrievski is Valencia's goalkeeper and has an average rating of 6.82 in 12 season appearances
Valencia has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Influences
Elche has scored an average of 1.26 goals at home and conceded only 0.84 goals
The Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero shows a high goal average, with 3.0 goals per game on average
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams score, and 80% have over 2.5 goals