La Liga
FC Barcelona - Espanyol
04/11/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.7
3.5
0.8
2:0
11%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
8%1:1
7%What influences the xG?
FC Barcelona
Espanyol
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
77%
Draw
16%
Away Win
8%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
92%
Away or Draw
23%
No Draw
84%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- FC Barcelona's Strong Home Performance: The mathematical analysis predicts 2.69 expected home goals, supported by an average of 2.61 goals scored in home games
- Espanyol's Weak Away Form: Espanyol has failed to secure a win in their last 5 away matches and concedes an average of 1.53 goals per away game
- FC Barcelona's Historical Dominance: Barcelona has won all 3 direct encounters with a goal difference of 7:1
Risk Factors
- Short recovery time for FC Barcelona: The team had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- FC Barcelona's recent home loss: The last home defeat (0-2 against Atlético Madrid) breaks their otherwise strong form streak
- Missing key players for FC Barcelona: Dani Olmo, Raphinha, Robert Lewandowski, JoĂŁo Cancelo, and Marc Bernal are absent, affecting 12% of the usual starting XI's goal contribution
Overview
FC Barcelona (1st place, 76 points) host Espanyol (10th place, 38 points) at Camp Nou. This La Liga match takes place on April 11, 2026, 6:30 PM. Barcelona, as league leaders, are on course for the championship, while Espanyol are fighting for a good position in the middle of the table
Form
FC Barcelona show strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Their most recent match was a 0-2 loss against Atlético Madrid. Prior to that, they secured 4 consecutive wins, including a 7-2 against Newcastle United and a 5-2 against Sevilla. Espanyol have not registered a win in their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 2 losses. Their most recent result was a 0-0 away draw against Real Betis. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Barcelona scores an average of 2.67 goals per game and concedes 0.97 goals. Their home record is particularly strong with an average of 2.61 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded per home game. They kept 12 clean sheets. Espanyol scores an average of 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.47 goals. Away from home, they also score 1.2 goals but concede 1.53 goals per match. Espanyol kept 8 clean sheets. At Camp Nou, an average of 4.4 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the matches
Head-to-Head
In the 3 direct encounters so far, FC Barcelona has dominated the statistics. They won all 3 matches, while Espanyol remained without a win or a draw. Barcelona scored 7 goals and conceded only 1 goal. The last meeting on January 3, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Barcelona
Key Players
For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal is a key offensive player with 14 goals and 9 assists this season, although his form is slightly declining. Ferran Torres contributed 12 goals and 1 assist. FermĂn LĂłpez is crucial in midfield with 5 goals and 8 assists. On Espanyol's side, Kike GarcĂa is the top scorer with 6 season goals and 1 assist and shows a rising form curve. Edu ExpĂłsito impresses with 1 goal and 6 assists, also with rising form. Carlos Romero is an important player with 5 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Joan GarcĂa guards the goal for FC Barcelona and has kept 12 clean sheets this season. His average rating is 7.16. Espanyol's goalkeeper Manuel Iori achieved 8 clean sheets and has an average rating of 6.94
Influences
Camp Nou is known for high-scoring encounters with an average of 4.4 goals per game. FC Barcelona's home advantage is reflected in an average of 2.61 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded in their home games. Espanyol scores an average of 1.2 goals away from home and concedes 1.53 goals per match