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La Liga

Levante - Getafe

04/13/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Levante
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Getafe
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
LEVGET

Levante

Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
-0.52
Standings disadvantage (pos 20 vs 8, 12 places gap)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.11
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.11
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
+0.11
Iker Losada on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)

Getafe

3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.12
Rising form (1.4 vs 1 season average)
+0.12
Standings advantage (pos 8 vs 20, 12 places gap)
+0.07
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.04
Mauro Arambarri not in squad (6 goals, 2 assists)
20% of goal output missing (only 87% available)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

29%

Draw

32%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

71%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Getafe's better league position (8th place) and strong recent form with 4 wins in the last 5 games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 39% probability for an away win
  • Getafe's strong defense in the last 5 games with an average of only 0.4 goals conceded according to Advanced Stats
Risk Factors
  • Levante is in last place (20th) and concedes an average of 1.67 goals per game this season
  • Getafe's expected goals (xG) in recent games are 0.64, which is below their actual goals scored (1.4), indicating potential overperformance
  • Limited data availability regarding duels won in the last 5 games
Overview

Levante (20th place, 26 points) host Getafe (8th place, 41 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

La Liga match on April 13, 2026, 9:00 PM

Levante are fighting against relegation, while Getafe are competing for an international spot

Form

Levante's form in the last five games is WDDWL

This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their last result was a 0-2 loss against Real Sociedad

Levante's form trend is described as positive, as they are currently scoring more often (avg. 1.6 goals) than their season average (avg. 1.2 goals)

Getafe shows strong form of WWLWW in their last five matches

This means 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss

They recently defeated Athletic Club 2-0

Getafe's form trend is also positive, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game, compared to 1.0 season goals

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Levante averages 1.13 goals scored per game and concedes 1.67 goals

At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per home game

Both teams scored in 15 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 games

Getafe has a season average of 0.9 goals scored and concedes 1.03 goals

Away from home, they average 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded

For Getafe, both teams scored in 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 games

The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia recorded an average of 2.4 goals per match in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and only 1 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

There has only been one head-to-head match between these two teams so far

This match ended in a 1-1 draw on September 27, 2025

Both teams scored one goal in this sole encounter

The historical record is even

Key Players

For Levante, Carlos EspĂ­ (7 season goals, 6 goals in last 5 games with a rising trend), IvĂĄn Romero (5 season goals, 1 goal in last 5), and Jeremy Toljan (1 season goal, 3 assists) are important players

Iker Losada (3G/1A) is not nominated

For Getafe, Luis Milla (9 season assists, 1 assist in last 5), MartĂ­n Satriano (4 season goals, 2 goals in last 5), and Domingos Duarte (1 season goal, 1 assist with a rising trend) stand out

Mauro Arambarri (6G/2A) is not nominated

Goalkeepers

Mathew Ryan of Levante played in 28 matches and achieved 5 clean sheets

David Soria of Getafe played 30 matches and kept 9 clean sheets

David Soria's form shows a rising trend

Influences

Levante scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.62 goals

Getafe scores 0.93 goals away and concedes 1.43 goals

The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia saw an average of 2.4 goals in 5 games

In 2 of 5 games, both teams scored, and only 1 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

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