La Liga
Osasuna - Real Betis
04/12/2026, 12:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Osasuna
Real Betis
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Historical Dominance: Real Betis has won four of the last five direct encounters against Osasuna
- Real Betis' Offensive Power: Real Betis averaged 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games and consistently scores (1.8 goals per game)
- Osasuna's Home Defense: Osasuna has conceded an average of only 0.76 goals in their home games
Risk Factors
- Short Recovery Time for Real Betis: Real Betis had only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Limited Goal Threat for Osasuna: Osasuna's goal production is stagnant (1.2) compared to their season average (1.6)
- Suspended Players for Osasuna: A. Osambela Larraya (Red Card Suspension) and F. Boyomos (Yellow Card Suspension) are absent
Overview
Osasuna (9th place, 38 points) host Real Betis (5th place, 45 points) at Estadio El Sadar
La Liga match on April 12, 2026, 2:00 PM
Real Betis is fighting for a European spot, while Osasuna is in mid-table
The mathematical analysis predicts a 42% chance of a home win for Osasuna
Form
Osasuna's form in the last five matches is L-D-L-W-D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded one win, two draws, and two losses
The last match ended in a draw
Real Betis' form across all competitions is D-W-L-D-D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They achieved one win, three draws, and one loss
The team most recently played two consecutive draws
Statistics
Osasuna averages 1.20 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.23 goals
At home, the average is 1.19 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded per home game
Real Betis has a season average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded
Away, they average 1.50 goals scored and concede 1.75 goals per game
At Estadio El Sadar, the last five matches saw an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the matches
Head-to-Head
In the five direct encounters over recent years, Real Betis won four matches, while Osasuna did not secure a single victory, with one match ending in a draw
The goal difference stands at 3:9 in favor of Real Betis
The last meeting on September 28, 2025, was won by Real Betis with a 2-0 away victory
Key Players
Ante Budimir is the top scorer with 15 season goals, his rating in the last five matches showed a decrease of 0.24
VĂctor Muñoz scored 5 goals and 2 assists this season, and his form is rising with an increase of 0.51
RubĂ©n GarcĂa contributed 2 goals and 5 assists this season
Cucho HernĂĄndez has scored 8 season goals and 3 assists, his form is stable with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last five matches
Antony has 7 goals and 5 assists this season
Pablo Fornals contributed 7 goals and 4 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Sergio Herrera, Osasuna's goalkeeper, maintains an average of 7 clean sheets this season
Real Betis' goalkeeper Ălvaro Valles has 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
Osasuna has scored 1.19 goals at home this season and conceded 0.76 goals, indicating a solid home defense
At Estadio El Sadar, the last five matches averaged 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the matches, indicating high-scoring encounters
No weather data is available