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La Liga

Espanyol - Levante

04/27/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Espanyol
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Levante
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
ESPLEV

Espanyol

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.19
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.14
Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
+0.02
Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
+0.01
Tyrhys Dolan on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
Pol Lozano on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Strong home record (1.5 vs 1.2 goals/match)

Levante

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.47
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.11
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.11
Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.10
IvĂĄn Romero not in squad (7 goals, 1 assists)
Iker Losada on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
27% of goal output missing (only 83% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.2 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Levante: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Espanyol with Jofre Carreras: 4.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Levante with Ugo Raghouber: 3.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Levante: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)

  • 5
    Levante: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

76%

Away or Draw

53%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Levante's positive form (3 wins, 1 draw from 5 games) contrasts with Espanyol's negative run (0 wins, 1 draw from 5 games)
  • Levante's improved offense is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Espanyol with a 47% probability
Risk Factors
  • Espanyol averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Levante will be without I. Romero de Ávila Araque, who contributed 7 goals and 1 assist this season
  • J. Puado DĂ­az (2 goals this season) is injured for Espanyol due to a Cruciate Ligament Tear
Overview

Espanyol (14th place, 38 points) host Levante (19th place, 32 points) at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on April 27, 2026, 9:00 PM

Espanyol could solidify their mid-table position, while Levante needs crucial points in the relegation battle

Form

Espanyol's current form across all competitions is LLDLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

Most recently, Espanyol lost 0-1 to Rayo Vallecano and 1-4 to FC Barcelona

Levante's form in all competitions is DWLWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

They recently won 2-0 against Sevilla and 1-0 against Getafe

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Espanyol has scored an average of 1.16 goals per game this season and conceded 1.53 goals

Levante has a similar average of 1.16 goals per game but conceded 1.56 goals per match

The RCDE Stadium sees an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of the last 5 matches at the stadium

3 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Espanyol scored an average of 1.12 goals at home and conceded 1.31 goals

Levante scored an average of 1.14 goals away and conceded 1.71 goals

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

The last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Both teams scored 1 goal each in total head-to-head matches

The record is even

Key Players

For Espanyol, Edu ExpĂłsito (1 goal, 6 assists), Kike GarcĂ­a (6 goals, 1 assist) and Pere Milla (6 goals, 0 assists) are important players

Edu ExpĂłsito shows stable form with an average rating of 7.14 in the last 5 games

For Levante, Carlos EspĂ­ (8 goals, 0 assists), Jon Ander Olasagasti (1 goal, 3 assists) and Jeremy Toljan (1 goal, 3 assists) are significant

Carlos EspĂ­ has scored 4 goals in the last 5 games and shows a rising form trend

Goalkeepers

Levante's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan has recorded 7 clean sheets this season

Influences

The RCDE Stadium recently recorded an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches at the stadium

Espanyol's home performance shows an average of 1.12 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded

Levante scored an average of 1.14 goals away and conceded 1.71 goals

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