La Liga
Getafe - FC Barcelona
04/25/2026, 02:15 PM
Expected Goals
0.8
2.0
1.2
0:0
15%1:1
15%0:1
14%0:2
10%1:0
9%What influences the xG?
Getafe
FC Barcelona
The Lab
- 1FC Barcelona: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Getafe with SebastiĂĄn Boselli: 3.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3FC Barcelona: 6 wins in 7 games with xG above 1.0 (86% win rate)
- 4Getafe: 80% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5FC Barcelona with Ronald Araujo: 5.7 goals/90 min. Without: 2.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
23%
Draw
33%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
77%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Key Factors
- Favorite Role: The model predicts an away win for FC Barcelona with 44% probability
- Form: FC Barcelona shows significantly stronger form with 4 wins in their last 5 games compared to Getafe
- Head-to-Head: The historical record clearly favors Barcelona with 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Fatigue Getafe: Getafe had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Fatigue FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona also had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Low Shot Efficiency Getafe: Getafe averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
Overview
Getafe (7th place, 44 points) hosts league leaders FC Barcelona (1st place, 82 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez. La Liga match on April 25, 2026, 4:15 PM. Barcelona is fighting for the title, Getafe for a European spot.
Form
Getafe's recent form in the last five games is LWWLW, with 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last match was a win. FC Barcelona has shown strong form with WLWWW, recording 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last five fixtures. Barcelona has achieved three consecutive wins recently. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Getafe averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they score 0.88 and concede 0.69 goals per match. FC Barcelona boasts an impressive average of 2.66 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per season. Away from home, Barcelona scores 2.75 goals and concedes 1.75 goals. At the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez, the last 5 games saw an average of 1.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Getafe and FC Barcelona, Getafe has not secured a single win. FC Barcelona won 3 of these encounters, while 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference of 9:1 is clearly in favor of Barcelona, who also won the last direct duel 3:0. Recent history shows clear dominance for the away team.
Key Players
For Getafe, Luis Milla (0 goals, 9 assists) is a key midfielder with a season average rating of 7.17, although his form is slightly declining. Mauro Arambarri has scored 6 goals and 2 assists this season, showing a slightly declining form with a 6.56 rating in his last 5 games. MartĂn Satriano is a goal threat with 4 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances, and his form is also declining.
For FC Barcelona, Dani Olmo is crucial with 7 goals and 7 assists and a season average rating of 7.31, though his form is on a downward trend. Robert Lewandowski is the top scorer with 12 goals and 1 assist in 25 appearances, and his recent form is stable. Pedri impresses with 2 goals and 7 assists and an average rating of 7.48, though his form is also declining.
Goalkeepers
David Soria of Getafe has kept 10 clean sheets this season. His average rating in the last 5 games is 7.11. Joan GarcĂa, FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, has recorded 13 clean sheets this season. His form in the last 5 games is assessed as declining with a rating of 6.72.
Influences
Getafe plays at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez, where the last 5 games averaged 1.6 total goals. Both teams scored in only 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in only 1 of 5 games, indicating a tendency for low-scoring matches. Getafe scores 0.88 goals at home and concedes 0.69 goals per game. No weather data is available.