La Liga
Levante - Sevilla
04/23/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
Levante
Sevilla
The Lab
- 1Levante with Ugo Raghouber: 3.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Sevilla with Alexis SĂĄnchez: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Levante: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 4Levante: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Levante: 69% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Home advantage and rising form: Levante currently scores more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.2) and has won 2 of their last 5 games
- Goal quota forecast: The mathematical analysis predicts 1.63 expected home goals for Levante and 1.06 expected away goals for Sevilla
- Tactical differences: Levante averaged 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games (offensively strong), in contrast to Sevilla's 2.0 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Sevilla's away weakness: The team conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Sevilla averaged 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few chances created
- Not nominated: Djibril Sow (5G/1A) and Alexis SĂĄnchez (3G/1A) are not in Sevilla's lineup
Overview
Levante (19th place, 29 points) host Sevilla (17th place, 34 points) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
La Liga match on April 23, 2026, 7:00 PM
Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting for league survival
Form
Levante's form in the last five games is DDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
With 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, their form is stable
Their last result was a 1-0 home win against Getafe
Sevilla's form in the last five games is DLLLW
With 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, their form is negative
Sevilla recently secured a 2-1 home win against Atlético Madrid
Statistics
Levante scored an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceded 1.61 goals per game
At home, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded
Sevilla scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.65 goals per game
Away from home, Sevilla conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match
Levante recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Sevilla had 5
For Levante, 15 games ended with both teams scoring, compared to 19 for Sevilla
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Levante and Sevilla to date
Sevilla won this single encounter 3-0
This match took place on January 4, 2026
Key Players
For Levante, Carlos EspĂ (8 season goals, 5 goals in last 5 games, Avg. 7.39 rating), IvĂĄn Romero (5 season goals, 1 goal in last 5 games, Avg. 7.01 rating), and AdriĂĄn Dela (2 season goals, Avg. 7.20 rating in last 5 games) are important players
For Sevilla, Akor Adams (8 season goals, 4 assists, 1 goal in last 4 games), Rubén Vargas (3 season goals, 5 assists, 1 assist in last 5 games), and Isaac Romero (4 season goals, Avg. 6.91 rating in last 4 games) are noteworthy
Goalkeepers
Levante's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan played 29 games this season
The Levante team achieved 6 clean sheets
Sevilla relies on goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos, who has been deployed 27 times
Sevilla managed to keep a clean sheet in 5 games
Influences
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 games
Levante scored 1.12 goals at home and conceded 1.53 goals per home game