La Liga
Girona - Mallorca
05/01/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Girona
Mallorca
The Lab
- 1Mallorca: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Mallorca with Antonio SĂĄnchez: 7.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Girona: 7 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 4Mallorca: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 5Mallorca: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis sees Girona as favorites for a home win with a probability of 47%
- Mallorca concedes an average of 2.82 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Girona shows a negative form trend in goal production, averaging 1.0 goals in recent games, compared to the season average of 1.2 goals
Risk Factors
- Girona averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games (homeTacticalMetrics.avgShotsOnTarget)
- Mallorca is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
- Ălex Moreno is not available for Girona due to a yellow card suspension and contributed 3 assists this season
Overview
Girona (15th place, 38 points) host Mallorca (17th place, 35 points) at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. La Liga match on May 1, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table and are fighting for survival
Form
The home team Girona's form in the last five matches is "LWDLL"
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last result was a loss
Girona has suffered two consecutive losses recently
Mallorca's form in the last five matches is "LWWDL"
This represents 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss
Mallorca has recently suffered one loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Girona averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded per game this season
Mallorca averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per game this season
Girona kept 6 clean sheets, Mallorca 4 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 20 of Girona's games and 22 of Mallorca's games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 17 of Girona's games and 22 of Mallorca's games
In home games, Girona averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded
Mallorca averages 1.27 goals scored and 2.82 goals conceded away from home
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 home wins and 3 away wins
There have been no draws
Girona scored 6 goals, Mallorca 7 goals
Mallorca won the last encounter 2:1 on January 4, 2026
Mallorca has been more dominant in recent encounters
Key Players
For Girona, Viktor Tsygankov (6 goals, 4 assists) and Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals, 2 assists) are important attacking players
Viktor Tsygankov's form is declining, his rating decreased by 0.20 points
Azzedine Ounahi's form is also declining, his rating decreased by 0.31 points
Joel Roca contributed 3 goals and 1 assist, his form is stable
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the top scorer with 21 goals and 1 assist
Vedat Muriqi's form is declining, his rating decreased by 0.23 points
SamĂș Costa has scored 6 goals and 2 assists, his form is stable
Pablo Torre, with 3 goals and 3 assists, shows a rising form trend, his rating increased by 0.23 points
Goalkeepers
Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga played in 30 season games and had an average rating of 6.85
He kept 6 clean sheets
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo RomĂĄn played in 28 season games and has an average rating of 6.85
He recorded 4 clean sheets
Influences
At the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
Girona scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.41 goals
Mallorca concedes an average of 2.82 goals per away game