La Liga
Real Betis - Real Oviedo
05/03/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.8
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Real Betis
Real Oviedo
The Lab
- 1Real Oviedo with Rahim Alhassane: 7.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 2Real Betis with Ricardo RodrĂguez: 2.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Real Betis: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
62%
Draw
24%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
38%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Real Betis has a home win probability of 62% and an expected goal count of 1.93
- Real Oviedo's current offensive performance shows a positive trend, with 1.6 goals/game, above their season average of 0.9 goals/game
- Real Betis' home record is strong, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded per home game
Risk Factors
- Real Betis' goal production is stalling at 1.6 goals/game, while the season average is 1.8 goals/game
- Real Oviedo averaged 3.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Real Betis has recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.32 goals conceded
Overview
Real Betis (5th place, 50 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 28 points) at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla. The La Liga match takes place on May 3, 2026, 6:30 PM. Real Betis are fighting for a European spot, while Real Oviedo are battling relegation.
Form
Real Betis' form in their last five matches is DDLWD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their last result was a draw. Real Oviedo's form in their last five matches is LWWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Real Betis averages 1.48 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game. At home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded. Real Oviedo averages 0.79 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per game. Away, they average 0.77 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded. Real Betis has kept 9 clean sheets, Real Oviedo also 9. Both teams scored in 22 Real Betis matches and in 12 Real Oviedo matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 Real Betis matches and in 13 Real Oviedo matches.
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Real Betis and Real Oviedo. This match ended in a draw (1:1). The last encounter was on January 10, 2026, and also finished 1:1. The head-to-head record is even.
Key Players
Abde Ezzalzouli for Real Betis is in rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. Antony recorded 1 goal in 5 games, with his form declining. Cucho Hernåndez scored 1 goal in 5 games. For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas is in rising form with 3 goals in 5 games. Ilyas Chaira contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, also in rising form. Alberto Reina showed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Ălvaro Valles of Real Betis has kept 9 clean sheets this season. AarĂłn Escandell of Real Oviedo also has 9 clean sheets.
Influences
The last 5 games at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla averaged 2.8 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches. Real Betis' home strength is evident with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per home game.