La Liga
Real Sociedad - Real Betis
05/09/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.4
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
The Lab
- 1Real Betis with Ricardo RodrĂguez: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 2Real Sociedad with Jon MartĂn: 1.2 goals/90 min. Without: 2.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Real Betis: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
29%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Critical absences for Real Sociedad: Only 0% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key players like Mikel Oyarzabal (14G/3A) not in the lineup
- Critical absences for Real Betis: Only 0% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key players like Abde Ezzalzouli (8G/8A) missing
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with a 52% probability
Risk Factors
- Real Sociedad's poor home form: The team has not secured any wins in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
- Potentially low-scoring game: The probability for over 2.5 goals is only 44% according to the mathematical model
- Limited data availability: Information on total duels in the last 5 matches is missing for both teams
Overview
Real Sociedad (9th place, 43 points) host Real Betis (5th place, 53 points) at Anoeta Stadium. The La Liga match takes place on May 9, 2026, 9:00 PM. Real Betis is fighting for a European spot, while Real Sociedad is in the mid-table.
Form
Real Sociedad's form in the last five matches is 'DDLDL' (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), indicating poor recent performance. Their last result was a 0-1 away loss against Sevilla. Real Betis shows a form of 'DLWDW' (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games and secured a 3-0 home win against Real Oviedo most recently. Real Betis' current form is rated as positive.
Statistics
Real Sociedad averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per game this season. At home, their defense improves, conceding an average of 1.19 goals. Real Betis also averages 1.53 goals scored but concedes only 1.21 goals per game. Away from home, Real Betis scores 1.57 goals per game and concedes 1.71. At Anoeta Stadium, the last 5 matches saw an average of 2.8 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 head-to-head matches played, the record between Real Sociedad and Real Betis is even. Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with one match ending in a draw. Real Betis scored 6 goals, while Real Sociedad netted 5. The last encounter on September 19, 2025, resulted in a 3-1 away victory for Real Betis.
Key Players
For Real Sociedad, Mikel Oyarzabal is a key player with 10 goals and 2 assists in 18 home games at Anoeta Stadium, holding an average rating of 7.24. Orri Ăskarsson contributed 5 goals in 12 home appearances with an average rating of 7.00. Takefusa Kubo showed offensive presence with 3 assists in 15 home games and an average rating of 7.03. For Real Betis, ValentĂn GĂłmez, Diego Llorente, and Antony have recorded no goals or assists in their single appearance at Anoeta Stadium.
Goalkeepers
Real Sociedad's goalkeeper, Ălex Remiro, has an average season rating of 6.8 and a recent rating of 6.69 over the last 5 games. He kept 3 clean sheets this season and 2 at home. Real Betis' goalkeeper Ălvaro Valles boasts a higher average season rating of 6.95 and is in rising form with 7.21 in his last 5 games. He recorded 10 clean sheets this season, with 3 coming in away matches.
Influences
Anoeta Stadium averages 2.8 total goals per game. In 2 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored. Real Sociedad concedes an average of 1.19 goals per home game, compared to 1.56 on average throughout the season, indicating an improved defense in front of their own fans.