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La Liga

Getafe - Mallorca

05/13/2026, 07:30 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Getafe
1.0
Total xG
1.6
Mallorca
0.6
Most Likely Scores

0:0

22%

1:0

18%

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
GETMAL

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.41x league average)
-0.84
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.39
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.21
Declining form (0.2 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.20
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 15, 8 places gap)
+0.04
Luis VĂĄzquez on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Abdel Abqar not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Kiko FemenĂ­a not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

Mallorca

Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.66
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 7, 8 places gap)
-0.06
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.03
SamĂș Costa not in squad (7 goals, 2 assists)
Pablo Torre on the bench (3 goals, 3 assists)
Johan Mojica on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)
22% of goal output missing (only 79% available)
Weak away record (0.8 vs 1.3 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Mallorca: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Getafe with Abdel Abqar: 0.2 goals/90 min. Without: 3.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Mallorca with Antonio SĂĄnchez: 6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Mallorca: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 5
    Mallorca: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

38%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

49%

Under 1.5

51%

Over 2.5

22%

Under 2.5

78%

Over 3.5

8%

Under 3.5

92%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

62%

Both Score

Yes

31%

No

69%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Getafe as slight favorites with a 40% chance of winning, a draw is also highly probable at 38%
  • Mallorca's away defense: Mallorca concedes an average of 2.58 goals per away game, indicating a significant vulnerability on the road
  • Getafe's home strength and venue character: Getafe concedes only 0.83 goals per home game, and the venue averages only 1.8 total goals per match
Risk Factors
  • Getafe has a short recovery period of only 3 days since their last match
  • Mallorca has a short recovery period of only 3 days since their last match
  • Getafe averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating a limited attacking threat
Overview

Getafe (7th place, 45 points) host Mallorca (15th place, 39 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez

La Liga match on May 13, 2026, 9:30 PM

Both teams are in the mid-table, with Getafe having a better season overall

Form

Getafe's form across all competitions is: LWLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

Their last appearance was an away draw

Mallorca's form across all competitions is: WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Their last appearance was a home draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Getafe scores an average of 0.80 goals and concedes 1.03 goals per game this season

At home, Getafe scores 0.78 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per game

Mallorca scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.49 goals per game this season

Away from home, Mallorca scores 1.25 goals and concedes 2.58 goals per game

Getafe's home matches average 1.8 total goals per game

In the last 5 games at the stadium, there were neither 'Both teams scored' nor 'Over 2.5 goals'

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe recorded 1 win, Mallorca 3 wins, and there was 1 draw

Mallorca scored a total of 5 goals, while Getafe scored 3 goals

The last match was won by Mallorca 1-0 on November 9, 2025

Mallorca has been the recently dominant team in direct confrontations

Key Players

For Getafe, Luis Milla (Midfielder, 0 goals, 9 assists, Avg 7.14) and Mauro Arambarri (Midfielder, 6 goals, 2 assists, Avg 6.81) are key players

MartĂ­n Satriano (Attacker, 4 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.88) is also a crucial figure

For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi (Attacker, 22 goals, 1 assist, Avg 7.21) stands out

Sergi Darder (Midfielder, 1 goal, 5 assists, Avg 7.01) and Jan Virgili (Attacker, 2 goals, 5 assists, Avg 6.68) are also central figures

Goalkeepers

Getafe's goalkeeper David Soria has an average season rating of 6.93 and kept 11 clean sheets

Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo RomĂĄn has an average rating of 6.87 and kept 5 clean sheets

Influences

Getafe shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per game

The Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez averages 1.8 total goals per game

In the last 5 home games, there were never more than 2.5 goals, and neither team scored on all occasions

The venue surface is grass

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