La Liga
Celta de Vigo - Levante
05/12/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Celta de Vigo
Levante
The Lab
- 1Celta de Vigo with Hugo Ălvarez: 2.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Celta de Vigo: 80% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 3Levante with Karl Etta Eyong: 6.8 goals/90 min. Without: 2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Celta de Vigo: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 5Levante: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
30%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Levante's rising offensive form: Levante scores more frequently (1.8) recently than their season average (1.3)
- Celta's home advantage: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 45%
- Stadium statistics: Estadio de BalaĂdos averages 4.0 goals per game, and both teams score frequently
Risk Factors
- Fatigue: Celta de Vigo had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Offensive weakness: Celta de Vigo averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Away defense: Levante concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
Overview
Celta de Vigo (6th place, 50 points) host Levante (19th place, 36 points) at Estadio de BalaĂdos. La Liga match on May 12, 2026, 7:00 PM. Celta is fighting for a European spot, while Levante is battling against relegation.
Form
Celta de Vigo has shown a form of LLLWW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) in their last five matches. Levante, on the other hand, presented a better form in their last five games with WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.40 goals and concedes 1.26 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.37 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. Levante averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game this season. Away, they concede an average of 1.93 goals. At Estadio de BalaĂdos, an average of 4.0 goals per game are scored. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between Celta de Vigo and Levante. Celta de Vigo won 1 of these matches, while Levante recorded 0 wins and there were 0 draws. The last match ended 2:1 for Levante on November 2, 2025.
Key Players
For Celta de Vigo, Ferran JutglĂ is an important offensive force with 7 season goals and 3 assists, though his form is currently declining. Iago Aspas scored 5 season goals and 3 assists. Hugo Ălvarez is another offensive player with 4 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form recently. For Levante, Carlos EspĂ is the top scorer with 9 season goals and is in stable form. Pablo MartĂnez contributed 1 goal and 4 assists. VĂctor GarcĂa shows a strong rising form with 2 goals in 4 games.
Goalkeepers
IonuÈ Radu is the goalkeeper for Celta de Vigo and recorded 9 clean sheets this season. Mathew Ryan guards the goal for Levante and achieved 8 clean sheets in the current campaign.
Influences
Celta de Vigo has scored 26 goals and conceded 25 goals in home games, indicating a home advantage. Estadio de BalaĂdos has a high goal average of 4.0 goals per game. Additionally, over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of matches at the stadium, and both teams scored in 80% of matches.