La Liga
Levante - Mallorca
05/17/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.8
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Levante
Mallorca
The Lab
- 1Mallorca: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Levante: 5 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)
- 3Mallorca with Antonio SĂĄnchez: 4.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Mallorca: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 5Levante with Kervin Arriaga: 3.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
60%
Draw
24%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
85%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Levante currently scores more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.3)
- Mallorca concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Levante with 60% probability
Risk Factors
- Mallorca's goal production is faltering (1.0), with a season average of 1.3
- Levante has conceded an average of 2.25 goals in the last 5 games, compared to 1.70 on season average
Overview
Levante (19th place, 39 points) host Mallorca (18th place, 39 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
La Liga match on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
Both teams are level on points, fighting for league survival
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Levante with 60% probability
A draw is rated at 24%, while an away win for Mallorca stands at 16%
Levante is assigned 1.92 expected goals, Mallorca 0.89 expected goals
Form
Levante shows an upward trend in form in the league
The last five games ended WDLWW
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Levante currently records 2 consecutive wins
Mallorca is in a more difficult phase
Their form curve shows DLWDL
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five matches
Mallorca recently suffered a loss
Statistics
Levante scores an average of 1.22 goals per game and concedes 1.64 goals
At home, they score 1.2 goals per home game and concede 1.4 goals
Mallorca also averages 1.22 goals per game this season but concedes 1.53 goals
Away from home, Mallorca concedes an average of 2.62 goals per game and scores 1.23 goals
Levante kept 8 clean sheets, while Mallorca recorded 5 clean sheets
In 16 games for Levante, over 2.5 goals were scored, in 23 games for Mallorca
At the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, there have been an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Levante and Mallorca so far
This ended in a 1-1 draw
The last encounter took place on October 26, 2025
The record is even
Key Players
Levante relies on Carlos EspĂ, who scored 9 goals this season
IvĂĄn Romero contributed 7 goals and 1 assist
Pablo MartĂnez contributed with 1 goal and 4 assists to the offense and shows a rising form
Not nominated is VĂctor GarcĂa (2 goals/1 assist)
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the top scorer with 22 goals and 1 assist
SamĂș Costa scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists, and his form curve is rising
Pablo Torre was involved in 3 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
In Levante's goal is Mathew Ryan, who recorded 8 clean sheets in 34 season appearances
Mallorca's goal is guarded by Leo RomĂĄn, who achieved 5 clean sheets in 31 appearances
Influences
Levante shows a solid performance at their home stadium with 1.2 home goals and 1.4 home goals conceded per game
At the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, the average is 3.0 goals per match
In 40% of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored
In 40% of the last 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored