La Liga
FC Barcelona - Real Betis
05/17/2026, 07:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
FC Barcelona
Real Betis
The Lab
- 1FC Barcelona: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2FC Barcelona with Frenkie de Jong: 8.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3FC Barcelona: 6 wins in 7 games with xG above 1.0 (86% win rate)
- 4Real Betis with Rodrigo Riquelme: 5.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.7 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Real Betis: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
26%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- FC Barcelona's dominance and home strength: As league leaders with a home goal ratio of 2.57:0.43, they are clearly superior
- Mathematical prediction for home win: The analysis indicates a home win with 55% probability and 1.78 expected home goals
- Real Betis' positive form trend: Real Betis is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.2 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.8 goals)
Risk Factors
- Critical Offensive Absences for Real Betis: Pablo Fornals (8G/6A) and Cucho HernĂĄndez (11G/3A) are missing, with only 66% of the usual goal threat available
- Stalling Goal Production for FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona's goal production has recently dropped to an average of 1.4 goals, compared to their season average of 2.5 goals
Overview
League leaders FC Barcelona (1st place, 91 points) host Real Betis (5th place, 57 points) at Camp Nou. The La Liga match takes place on May 17, 2026, 9:15 PM. Barcelona aims to solidify their top position, while Betis seeks to maintain a spot in the upper third of the table
Form
FC Barcelona's form is WWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Real Betis shows a form of WDWDW
They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
FC Barcelona's goal production is currently stalling (Avg. 1.4 goals) compared to their season average (Avg. 2.5 goals)
Real Betis is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.2 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.8 goals)
Statistics
FC Barcelona scored an average of 2.53 goals per game this season and conceded 0.89 goals
They kept 15 clean sheets and both teams scored in 20 matches
Real Betis scored an average of 1.56 goals per game and conceded 1.22 goals
They achieved 10 clean sheets and both teams scored in 24 games
In home games, FC Barcelona scored an average of 2.57 goals and conceded 0.43 goals
Real Betis scored an average of 1.6 goals away and conceded 1.73 goals
At Camp Nou, the last 5 games averaged 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, FC Barcelona won 3, Real Betis won none, and 2 ended in a draw
FC Barcelona scored 17 goals, Real Betis 9 goals in these encounters
The last match on December 06, 2025, saw FC Barcelona win away with a 5:3 score
Key Players
For FC Barcelona, Raphinha is an important attacking player with 11 season goals and 3 assists
Robert Lewandowski contributed 13 goals and 2 assists this season
FermĂn LĂłpez is crucial in midfield with 6 season goals and 9 assists
On Real Betis' side, Abde Ezzalzouli showed good form with 9 season goals and 8 assists, with a rising trend
Antony scored 8 season goals and 6 assists and also shows a rising form trend
HĂ©ctor BellerĂn recorded 2 season goals and 3 assists, with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, Joan GarcĂa, recorded 15 clean sheets this season
For Real Betis, Pau LĂłpez is the goalkeeper, achieving 10 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match takes place at Camp Nou on grass
FC Barcelona boasts a strong home record, with an average of 2.57 goals scored and only 0.43 goals conceded in home games
The analysis of the last 5 games at Camp Nou shows an average of 2.2 goals per game