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La Liga

Osasuna - Espanyol

05/17/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Osasuna
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Espanyol
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
OSAESP

Osasuna

Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.10
RaĂșl Moro not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)

Espanyol

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.44
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.14
Roberto FernĂĄndez not in squad (6 goals, 3 assists)
RamĂłn Terrats not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Espanyol with Rubén Sånchez: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Osasuna: 6 goals from minute 80 onwards in 8 games. Against Sevilla: 2 goals (80', 90+9')

  • 3
    Osasuna: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 4
    Espanyol: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 5
    Espanyol: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

84%

Away or Draw

41%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Osasuna with 59% probability
  • Osasuna shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.88 goals conceded per game
  • Espanyol's away defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Osasuna's goal production is currently stalled with an average of 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
  • Espanyol's goal production has also decreased, from 1.2 goals in the season average to 0.8 goals in recent games
  • Osasuna recently recorded three consecutive losses
Overview

Osasuna (13th place, 42 points) host Espanyol (14th place, 42 points) at the Estadio El Sadar

La Liga match on May 17, 2026, 6:00 PM

Only goal difference separates both teams in the standings

Form

Osasuna's current form in all competitions is LWLLL

This means 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses from the last 5 games

Osasuna recently recorded three consecutive losses

Espanyol's form in all competitions is LDLLW

This means 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from the last 5 games

Espanyol won their last match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Osasuna averages 1.19 goals scored per game and concedes 1.31 goals per game this season

At home, Osasuna averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 0.88 goals

Espanyol averages 1.11 goals scored per game and concedes 1.47 goals per game this season

Away from home, Espanyol averages 1.11 goals scored and concedes 1.67 goals

At Estadio El Sadar, an average of 2.4 total goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches so far, there has been 1 win for Osasuna, 1 draw, and 1 win for Espanyol

Osasuna scored a total of 2 goals, Espanyol 1 goal

The last encounter on August 31, 2025, was won by Espanyol with a score of 1:0

The recent head-to-head record is even

Key Players

Osasuna relies on Ante Budimir, who scored 17 goals and provided 0 assists in 35 appearances this season, with an average rating of 7.00

Víctor Muñoz contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 33 appearances with an average rating of 6.78

Rubén García scored 2 goals and 5 assists in 33 appearances with an average rating of 6.89

For Espanyol, Kike GarcĂ­a is an important player with 7 goals and 1 assist in 35 appearances, with an average rating of 6.78

Pere Milla scored 7 goals and 0 assists in 31 appearances with an average rating of 6.86

Carlos Romero contributed 5 goals and 3 assists in 34 appearances with an average rating of 6.83

Goalkeepers

Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera played in 35 season games and kept 7 clean sheets

Espanyol recorded a total of 10 clean sheets this season

Influences

Osasuna shows a better performance at home with 1.2 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game

Espanyol is less stable away from home, conceding 1.67 goals per game

The Estadio El Sadar has seen an average of 2.4 goals in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of games

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