La Liga
Elche - Getafe
05/17/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.1
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Elche
Getafe
The Lab
- 1Getafe with SebastiĂĄn Boselli: 4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Elche: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 3Elche: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4Elche with LĂ©o PĂ©trot: 2.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Elche: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
30%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis favors Elche with a 43% chance for a home win, compared to 27% for Getafe
- Elche home strength: Elche concedes only an average of 0.86 goals per home game
- Getafe offense: Getafe scores only an average of 0.88 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Low shot efficiency: Getafe averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Elche (17th place, 39 points) host Getafe (7th place, 48 points) at the Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero. The La Liga match takes place on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM. Elche is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Getafe is vying for a European spot
Form
Elche's form in their last five games shows a record of W-W-D-L-L, which corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss
Getafe's form over their last five games is W-L-L-D-W, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a win
Statistics
Elche scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.56 goals. They kept 7 clean sheets, both teams scored in 26 matches, and 22 games ended with over 2.5 goals. At home, Elche scores an average of 1.32 goals and concedes 0.86 goals
Getafe scores an average of 0.86 goals per game and concedes 1.03 goals. They kept 11 clean sheets, both teams scored in 11 matches, and 10 games ended with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Getafe scores an average of 0.88 goals and concedes 1.31 goals
The last 5 games at Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 games (80%) and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games (60%)
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Elche and Getafe. Getafe won this single game 1-0. Elche has scored 0 goals to date, while Getafe has scored 1 goal. The last encounter took place on November 28, 2025, with Getafe emerging victorious away from home
Key Players
For Elche, AndrĂ©s Silva is a key attacking force with 10 season goals and 3 goals in his last 5 games. Ălvaro RodrĂguez contributed 6 season goals and 5 assists. Defender David Affengruber shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 matches
For Getafe, Luis Milla is an important midfielder with 10 season assists and 1 assist in his last 5 games. MartĂn Satriano scored 6 season goals, with 2 in his last 5 matches. Mauro Arambarri contributed 6 goals this season
Goalkeepers
MatĂas Dituro, Elche's goalkeeper, recorded 7 clean sheets this season, but his form has recently been declining. David Soria, Getafe's goalkeeper, kept 11 clean sheets this season and shows stable form
Influences
Elche shows defensive stability at home, scoring an average of 1.32 goals and conceding only 0.86 goals. Matches at Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero tend to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game, and both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 games