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La Liga

Getafe - Osasuna

05/23/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Getafe
1.1
Total xG
1.7
Osasuna
0.6
Most Likely Scores

0:0

20%

1:0

18%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

10%
What influences the xG?
GETOSA

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.47x league average)
-0.65
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.40
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (0.8 vs 1 season average)
-0.06
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 15, 8 places gap)
+0.04
MartĂ­n Satriano not in squad (6 goals, 1 assists)

Osasuna

Attack weakness (0.68x league average)
-0.68
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.31
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 7, 8 places gap)
-0.05
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.04
Rubén García on the bench (2 goals, 5 assists)
RaĂșl Moro on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.5 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Getafe with Abdel Abqar: 0.3 goals/90 min. Without: 4.6 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Osasuna: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Osasuna: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 4
    Osasuna: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Osasuna: 56% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (5 of 9)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

36%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

53%

Under 1.5

47%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

76%

Over 3.5

9%

Under 3.5

91%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

55%

No Draw

64%

Both Score

Yes

32%

No

68%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 45% for Getafe
  • Osasuna's defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per game
  • Getafe's strong home defense concedes only an average of 0.8 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Getafe's low goal production with an average of 0.84 goals per seasonal game
  • Getafe has to do without the suspended M. Satriano (6 goals, 1 assist) and D. Dakonam Ortega
  • Osasuna is missing V. Muñoz Villanueva (6 goals, 2 assists) and I. Muñoz Cameros (suspended), weakening their attack
Overview

Getafe (7th place, 48 points) host Osasuna (15th place, 42 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. This La Liga match is scheduled for May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM. Getafe aims to solidify its mid-table position, while Osasuna is involved in a relegation battle, sitting just 2 points above the drop zone.

Form

Getafe's form in their last five matches across all competitions is LLDWL. This translates to one win, one draw, and three losses. Their most recent result was a 0-1 away loss to Elche, preceded by a 3-1 home win against Mallorca.

Osasuna's recent form over their last five games is WLLLL. They have recorded one win and four losses. Osasuna is currently on a four-game losing streak, including a 1-2 home defeat to Espanyol and a 1-2 loss to Atlético Madrid.

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Getafe has averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.85 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Getafe kept 11 clean sheets overall, with 5 of them at home.

Osasuna has averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game. Their away defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.27 goals per game, while their offense scores 1.18 goals. Osasuna recorded 7 clean sheets in total, with 2 away.

At the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, the last five matches have seen an average of 2.4 total goals. Both teams scored in only 1 of 5 games, and only 1 of 5 games finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between Getafe and Osasuna in their last five direct encounters is even. Both teams secured two wins each, with one match ending in a draw. The goal difference stands at 9:9. The last encounter on October 3, 2025, saw Osasuna win 2-1 at home.

Key Players

For Getafe, Luis Milla (Midfielder) is an important player with 10 assists and an average season rating of 7.13, and his form is stable. Mauro Arambarri (Midfielder) has scored 6 seasonal goals and provided 2 assists, but his form is declining. Zaid Romero (Defender) has scored once this season and once in his last five games, with an average season rating of 6.97.

For Osasuna, Ante Budimir (Attacker) stands out with 17 seasonal goals, though his form is declining (1 goal in last 5 games). RaĂșl GarcĂ­a (Attacker) has shown rising form in his last five games with 2 goals and 1 assist. Alejandro Catena (Defender) has scored 3 seasonal goals and 1 goal in his last five games.

Goalkeepers

Getafe's goalkeeper David Soria made 37 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.9 and kept 11 clean sheets.

For Osasuna, Sergio Herrera played 36 games, achieved an average rating of 6.84, and recorded 7 clean sheets.

Influences

The Coliseum Alfonso Pérez is known for an average of 2.4 goals per game. The probability of both teams scoring is 20%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is also 20%, suggesting rather low-scoring encounters. Getafe shows a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.8 goals, while Osasuna's away defense is vulnerable, conceding 2.27 goals per game.

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