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La Liga

Real Betis - Levante

05/23/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Real Betis
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Levante
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
RBLEV

Real Betis

Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 17, 12 places gap)
+0.10
Giovani Lo Celso on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)

Levante

Rising form (2.2 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.27
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.14
Standings disadvantage (pos 17 vs 5, 12 places gap)
-0.12
VĂ­ctor GarcĂ­a not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.3 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Levante: 5 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)

  • 2
    Levante with Karl Etta Eyong: 7.9 goals/90 min. Without: 1.4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Real Betis with Isco: 6.6 goals/90 min. Without: 1.7 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Real Betis: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Levante: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

42%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Real Betis with a probability of 58%
  • Real Betis shows defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.86 goals per game
  • Levante enters the game with a streak of three consecutive wins
Risk Factors
  • Giovani Lo Celso (2 goals/3 assists) is not in the lineup for Real Betis
  • Levante concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
  • The Estadio OlĂ­mpico de Sevilla has a high Over 2.5 goals rate of 80%
Overview

Real Betis (5th place, 57 points) hosts Levante (17th place, 42 points) at the Estadio OlĂ­mpico de Sevilla. The La Liga match is scheduled for May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Real Betis is fighting for a European spot, while Levante is in a relegation battle.

Form

Real Betis' current form (DWDWL) across all competitions shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their last result was a loss. Levante, on the other hand, shows a positive trend (DLWWW) with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. The team enters this encounter with three consecutive wins. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Real Betis averages 1.54 goals scored per game and concedes 1.27 goals per game this season. At home, they are defensively stronger with an average of 1.52 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per home game. Levante averages 1.24 goals scored per game and concedes 1.59 goals. Away, their average is 1.25 goals scored and a high 1.94 goals conceded per away game. Both teams scored in 25 of Betis' matches and 18 of Levante's matches. At the Estadio OlĂ­mpico de Sevilla, the last 5 games averaged 3.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches.

Head-to-Head

In head-to-head encounters, there has only been one previous match between Real Betis and Levante. This game ended in a 2-2 draw on September 14, 2025. In total, Real Betis scored 2 goals and Levante scored 2 goals, indicating an even record.

Key Players

For Real Betis, Abde Ezzalzouli (9 goals, 8 assists, avg rating 7.38 in last 5 games), Cucho HernĂĄndez (11 goals, 3 assists, 3 goals in last 5 games), and Pablo Fornals (8 goals, 6 assists, 1 goal and 2 assists in last 4 games) are the key offensive players. For Levante, Carlos EspĂ­ (10 goals, 0 assists, 2 goals in last 5 games), IvĂĄn Romero (7 goals, 1 assist, 2 goals in last 5 games), and Kervin Arriaga (3 goals, 3 assists, 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games) stand out.

Goalkeepers

Real Betis goalkeeper AdriĂĄn has not recorded any appearances this season. Real Betis has achieved 10 clean sheets in the current season. For Levante, goalkeeper Mathew Ryan has made 35 appearances this season, keeping 9 clean sheets.

Influences

The Estadio OlĂ­mpico de Sevilla is known for high-scoring games, averaging 3.6 total goals per match and a high 80% rate for over 2.5 goals. Real Betis shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.86 goals per home game. Levante concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game.

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