La Liga
Girona - Elche
05/23/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
8%0:1
8%What influences the xG?
Girona
Elche
The Lab
- 1Girona with Hugo RincĂłn: 5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Girona: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 3Girona: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 4Elche with John Donald: 3.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Elche: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
31%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Girona with 41%
- Elche's away defense is very vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.64 goals per game
- Girona averaged 5.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating offensive strength
Risk Factors
- Girona's recent form is poor with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches
- Girona's goal production is currently stalling at 0.6 goals, compared to their season average of 1.11 goals
- Elche's goal production is currently stalling at 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.44 goals
Overview
Girona (18th place, 40 points) host Elche (16th place, 42 points) at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM
A crucial encounter in the lower half of the table, with Elche holding a two-point lead
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 41%
Form
Girona's form across all competitions is LLDDL
This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Elche's form across all competitions is WLDLW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Statistics
Girona scored an average of 1.03 goals per game this season and conceded 1.46 goals
Elche scored an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceded 1.51 goals
In Girona's home games, an average of 1.05 goals were scored and 1.37 goals were conceded
Elche conceded an average of 2.64 goals per away game
Girona had 6 clean sheets this season, Elche had 8
Both teams scored in 22 of Girona's matches and 26 of Elche's matches
Head-to-Head
In 2 head-to-head matches so far, Girona won 1 and Elche won 1
Overall, Girona scored 2 goals and Elche scored 3 goals
The last encounter on December 7, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Elche
Key Players
For Girona, Viktor Tsygankov (6 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.16 rating) and Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.28 rating) are key attacking players
Joel Roca has scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with a rising form trend
Not nominated for Girona is Alejandro Francés (0 goals, 2 assists)
For Elche, Ălvaro RodrĂguez (6 goals, 5 assists, avg 6.88 rating) and GermĂĄn Valera (4 goals, 5 assists, avg 6.99 rating) are crucial players
Pedro Bigas showed a rising form trend in his last 5 games with 1 goal
Not nominated for Elche is André Silva (10 goals, 0 assists)
Goalkeepers
Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga had 6 clean sheets in 34 season appearances
Elche's goalkeeper MatĂas Dituro recorded 8 clean sheets in 21 season appearances
Influences
The Estadi Municipal de Montilivi averaged 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches
Elche's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.64 goals per game